Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.810188 4.399794 5.050597 5.822320 6.712690 7.708025 8.905656
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.911343 3.653157 4.541735 5.684943 7.117837 8.856064 11.127728
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.266105 3.057021 4.074365 5.479791 7.373489 9.840700 13.306815
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.908202 2.747324 3.898052 5.592942 8.030403 11.417032 16.495575
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.569141 2.396411 3.598657 5.475430 8.338877 12.556648 19.268134
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.417247 2.284824 3.614606 5.804390 9.332036 14.814830 24.029042
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.265434 2.144358 3.559246 6.006822 10.152471 16.923068 28.890296
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.106453 1.963583 3.407523 6.022118 10.661490 18.594922 33.290334
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.924848 1.713342 3.098991 5.717065 10.568246 19.226890 35.982117
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.856043 1.651688 3.106966 5.969659 11.496356 21.769382 42.490131
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.818909 1.642102 3.205926 6.401977 12.817218 25.210130 51.210556
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.751991 1.563833 3.162340 6.549527 13.603537 27.736272 58.513477
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.676296 1.459892 3.060469 6.580147 14.192360 30.024663 65.849093
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.586816 1.313122 2.850110 6.353012 14.210256 31.152796 70.933984
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.506853 1.174047 2.634741 6.080180 14.084207 31.952739 75.428417
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.466061 1.116449 2.588203 6.177861 14.806441 34.731479 84.922244
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.413351 1.022652 2.445905 6.030722 14.935048 36.176031 91.497826
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.398192 1.016764 2.507277 6.381658 16.319599 40.793381 106.656102
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.375932 0.989636 2.513447 6.596753 17.400925 44.839385 121.055037
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.345066 0.935488 2.444522 6.608745 17.962300 47.665499 132.733992
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.301021 0.839464 2.254439 6.270919 17.541911 47.883865 137.377205
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.289127 0.829166 2.287939 6.546209 18.841946 52.893380 156.302373
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.285729 0.842182 2.386362 7.019220 20.776411 59.947766 182.360334